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CG

CURO Group Holdings Corp. (CURO)·Q2 2023 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2023 revenue was $209.2M, net revenue $129.6M, and net loss $(59.3)M or $(1.45) diluted EPS; gross loans receivable grew 3.7% sequentially to $2.14B, and operating expenses fell 8.5% q/q to $108.1M .
  • Credit normalized: consolidated net charge-off rate rose 150 bps q/q to 13.0%, while 91+ day delinquency was flat at 3.2% q/q .
  • Liquidity improved: management highlighted liquidity and capacity of $399M (presentation) vs available capital resources of $361.9M (press release); funding mix was 69% fixed/hedged and 31% unhedged variable at quarter-end .
  • Q3 2023 guidance: end-of-period receivables $2.15–$2.25B, revenue $210–$220M, net charge-offs 12.5–15.5%, operating expenses $108–$118M (key near-term catalysts: receivables growth, NIM stabilization, cost control) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Receivables growth and segment momentum: Canada POS Lending gross loans rose 6.9% q/q to $912.3M; Direct Lending revolving LOC rose 2.5% q/q; consolidated gross loans receivable increased 3.7% q/q to $2.14B .
  • Cost discipline: total operating expenses declined 8.5% q/q to $108.1M, with prior quarter impacted by $10M restructuring; consolidated OpEx ratio improved to 21% (presentation) .
  • Management tone: “We delivered solid results… fundamentals continued to gradually improve” and see opportunities in U.S. and Canada with automation investments positioning for long-term growth (CEO Doug Clark) .

What Went Wrong

  • Higher provisions and interest costs pressured earnings: provision for losses increased to $79.6M, and interest expense rose $7.2M q/q to $66.1M due to new term loan and greater use of non-recourse facilities; debt modification fees totaled $8.9M .
  • Net revenue declined 11.5% q/q to $129.6M driven by higher loss provisioning from charge-offs and allowance build amid macro changes .
  • Credit normalization lifted NCOs: net charge-off rate increased to 13.0% (from 11.5%); Canada Direct Lending NCOs reflected a full period of the charge-off policy change, with 31+ days past due rising to 4.0% in Canada POS .

Financial Results

Consolidated P&L and Key Credit Metrics

Metric ($USD Thousands unless noted)Q2 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023
Total revenue304,404 209,473 209,243
Net revenue174,858 146,541 129,645
Provision for losses129,546 62,932 79,598
Operating expenses160,393 118,198 108,147
Interest expense42,193 58,943 66,101
Net (loss) income(26,080) (59,471) (59,327)
Diluted EPS ($)(0.65) (1.46) (1.45)
Net charge-off rate (%)24.0% 11.5% 13.0%
91+ days delinquency (%)2.0% 3.2% 3.2%

Balance Sheet and Receivables

MetricQ2 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023
Gross loans receivable ($000s)1,592,815 2,062,829 2,139,865
Cash and cash equivalents ($000s)37,394 54,935 112,531
Total debt ($000s)2,189,431 2,627,263 2,772,872
Stockholders’ equity ($000s)115,580 (228,816) (268,373)

Segment Performance

Direct Lending ($000s)Q2 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023
Total revenue281,251 169,368 167,016
Provision for losses123,584 48,364 63,755
Net revenue157,667 121,004 103,261
Total operating expenses143,965 103,151 91,285
Segment operating income (loss)13,702 17,853 11,976
NCOs ($000s)74,069 47,312 57,263
NCO rate (annualized, %)26.5% 15.6% 18.8%
Canada POS Lending ($000s)Q2 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023
Total revenue23,153 40,105 42,227
Provision for losses5,962 14,568 15,843
Net revenue17,191 25,537 26,384
Total operating expenses16,428 15,047 16,862
Segment operating income763 10,490 9,522
Gross loans receivable ($000s)627,163 853,253 912,250
NCO rate (annualized, %)2.4% 5.6% 5.0%
31+ days past-due (%)2.8% 3.9% 4.0%

KPIs: Delinquency and Loss Ratios (Consolidated)

KPIQ2 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023
31–60 days delinquency (%)2.4% 1.8% 1.9%
61–90 days delinquency (%)1.8% 1.5% 1.3%
91+ days delinquency (%)2.0% 3.2% 3.2%
Net charge-offs (%)24.0% 11.5% 13.0%

Guidance Changes

Q3 2023 Guidance (New)

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
End-of-period receivablesQ3 2023$2.15–$2.25B n/a (new)
RevenueQ3 2023$210–$220M n/a (new)
Net charge-offs (%)Q3 202312.5–15.5% n/a (new)
Operating expensesQ3 2023$108–$118M n/a (new)

Q2 2023 Guidance vs Actuals

MetricQ2 2023 Guidance (issued 5/10)Q2 2023 ActualsResult
Receivables$2.0–$2.1B $2.14B Above guidance top end
Revenue$200–$210M $209.243M Within high end
Net charge-offs (%)13–16% 13.0% At low end
Operating expensesFlat vs Q4’22 (implied $126M) or $112–$120M slide-level $108.147M Better than range

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: Q2 2023 earnings call transcript content was unavailable due to document retrieval errors despite multiple attempts (documents 1–2 returned database inconsistency). Themes below reflect press releases and presentations.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2022)Previous Mentions (Q1 2023)Current Period (Q2 2023)Trend
Liquidity & leverageTwo-thirds fixed-rate debt; net leverage rose with funding for growth Liquidity/capacity $288M; net leverage 12.2x; raised $230M gross capital (term loan + CAD SPV) Liquidity/capacity $399M; net leverage 15.4x; mix 69% fixed/hedged Improving liquidity; leverage elevated
Credit policy/normalizationNCOs elevated; policy tighteners improved delinquency Canada charge-off policy change drove lower reported NCOs; CECL adoption increased allowance Credit normalized; consolidated NCO rate 13% and ACL held ~12.7% Stabilizing
Operating efficiencyRestructuring drove near-term OpEx; continued focus OpEx ratio improved; centralization of servicing OpEx declined 8.5% q/q; OpEx ratio 21% (consolidated) Improving
Segment growth (Canada POS)Strong growth in Canada POS balances q/q Canada POS receivables grew; NCOs/DQs rising with seasoning Canada POS revenue $42.2M; gross loans $912.3M; NCO 5.0% Growth with maturing credit
Funding costsInterest expense rising with benchmark rates Interest expense up; new facilities established Interest expense up to $66.1M; debt modification fees $8.9M Cost pressures persist

Management Commentary

  • “We delivered solid results… our fundamentals continued to gradually improve… opportunities present in both the U.S. and Canada while… balance future growth with further improving our bottom line. Our extensive industry experience, investments in automation and strong consumer demand… position us well for long term growth and shareholder value creation.” — Doug Clark, CEO .
  • Q3 2023 focus areas: optimize lending facilities, improve operating leverage, complete U.S. branch conversion to single platform, quality asset growth, stabilize NIM with specific targets provided .

Q&A Highlights

The Q2 2023 earnings call transcript could not be retrieved due to document database inconsistencies (multiple attempts to read documents 1–2 failed). As a result, Q&A themes and clarifications are not available from primary sources in this recap.

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for CURO Q2 2023 were unavailable due to missing CIQ mapping for the ticker in our SPGI data connector. Values could not be retrieved; therefore, beat/miss versus Street is not assessed here. Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term execution improving: operating expenses declined faster than guided, and receivables and revenue landed at the high end or above Q2 guidance ranges — supportive for Q3 targets .
  • Credit has normalized but is stabilizing: consolidated NCO rate at 13.0% with flat 91+ day delinquency; watch Canada POS seasoning and Canada Direct Lending post policy change .
  • Funding costs are the main headwind: interest expense rose to $66.1M with debt modification fees; leverage remains high — monitor term loan and SPV utilization vs NIM stabilization goals .
  • Canada POS is a growth engine: revenue up to $42.2M and receivables to $912.3M; continued portfolio maturation requires disciplined provisioning and monitoring of DQs .
  • Q3 guidance offers catalysts: achieving receivables $2.15–$2.25B and stabilizing NIM while holding OpEx $108–$118M would be constructive to sentiment; NCO guide at 12.5–15.5% sets expectations .
  • Liquidity improved q/q (presentation $399M) vs available capital resources (press release $361.9M); reconcile definitions, but trajectory is positive for growth funding .
  • Actionable: Focus on credit trends (NCOs/DQs) and cost trajectory vs Q3 guidance on revenue/NIM; sensitivity to interest rates and funding mix likely continues to drive equity narrative .